Oregon Regional Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) Integration Program

Final Phase III Report:

Transit Tracker Information Displays

Contract Number: DTFH61-96-C-00098        Task Order 9822


Oregon Regional Intelligent Transportation Systems Integration Program Photo

Submitted to:

United States Department of Transportation

Submitted by:
Science Applications International Corporation

PDF Version

November 14, 2003

NOTICE

Comments on this report are requested to be provided
to the Evaluation Team by October 24, 2003,
in written form via e-mail, fax, or mail to:

Kelley Klaver Pécheux, Ph.D.
Science Applications International Corporation
1710 SAIC Drive, M/S T1-12-3
McLean, VA 22102
Phone:
703-676-2385
Fax:  703-676-2432
E-Mail: kelley.k.pecheux@saic.com

 


TABLE OF CONTENTS

LIST OF FIGURES......................................................................................................... vi

LIST OF TABLES......................................................................................................... viiI

ABBREVIATIONS........................................................................................................... ix

 

1.     Introduction.. 1

2.     Background.. 3

2.1      transit tracker system description.. 4

2.2      transit tracker system deployment.. 5

2.3      evaluation objectives.. 5

2.3.1     Use of Trip Planning Information. 6

2.3.2     Perceptions of System Efficiency. 6

2.3.3     Perceptions of Personal Security. 6

2.3.4     Perceptions of Transit Tracker Service. 7

2.3.5     Overall Satisfaction with Bus Service. 7

2.4      hypotheses and measures of effectiveness.. 7

2.5      General Evaluation Approach.. 8

3.     before and after intercept interviews.. 9

3.1      survey approach and location selection.. 9

3.2      summary of RESPONDENT characteristics.. 13

3.3      findings.. 17

3.3.1     Use of Trip Planning Information. 17

3.3.2     Perceptions of Transit System Efficiency. 21

3.3.3     Perception of Personal Security. 26

3.3.4     Perceptions of Transit Tracker Service. 29

3.3.5     Overall Satisfaction with Bus Service. 32

4.     ridership data analysis.. 34

4.1      Nighttime Boardings.. 34

4.2      Boardings at Adjacent Stops.. 34

5.     Transit Tracker Online Survey. 37

5.1      Survey Approach.. 37

5.2      Survey and Transit Tracker Useage.. 37

5.3      summary of respondent characteristics.. 38

5.4      Findings.. 41

5.4.1     Use of Trip Planning Information. 41

5.4.2     Perceptions of Transit Tracker Online Service. 44

5.4.3     Overall Satisfaction with Bus Service. 48

5.5      Other Comments.. 49

6.     Summary and Conclusions.. 51

6.1      Introduction.. 51

6.2      summary.. 51

6.2.1     Assess Bus Riders’ Use of Trip Planning Information. 51

6.2.2     Assess Bus Riders’ Perceptions of Transit System Efficiency. 52

6.2.3     Assess Bus Riders’ Perceptions of Personal Security. 53

6.2.4     Assess Bus Riders’ Perceptions of Transit Tracker Service. 53

6.2.5     Assess Bus Riders’ Overall Satisfaction With the System... 54

6.3      Conclusions.. 54

References.. 57

Appendix A:  Transit Tracker “Before” Survey. 58

Appendix B:  Transit Tracker “After” Survey. 62

Appendix C: Transit Tracker ONLINE Survey. 67

 



LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 2‑1.  Transit Tracker Display (Bus Shelter) 4

Figure 2-2.  Transit Tracker Online Display. 5

Figure 3-1.  Age Distribution Comparison of Before and After Survey Respondents. 14

Figure 3-2.  Frequency with which Respondents Ride the Bus. 15

Figure 3-3.  Response Distributions for Main Trip Purpose. 15

Figure 3-4.  Distribution of Most Frequent Trip Purposes. 16

Figure 3-5.  Frequency With Which Respondents Use Various Sources of Bus Schedule Information  18

Figure 3-6.  Frequency With Which Respondents Use  Tranist Tracker Signs and Transit Tracker Online  19

Figure 3-7.  Use of Transit Tracker Information by Riders at Three Bus Stops Surveyed Both Before and After Installation. 20

Figure 3-8.  Use of Transit Tracker Information  by Riders at Salmon and 5th. 21

Figure 3-9.  Riders’ Perceptions of the On-time Performance. 22

Figure 3-10.  Riders’ Perceptions of On-Time Performance at Burnside and 28th Street 22

Figure 3-11.  Distribution of Integer Responses for Wait Time. 24

Figure 3-12.  Distribution of Responses for Those Giving a Range  for Wait Time in the Before Survey  24

Figure 3-13.  Distribution of Responses for Those Giving a Range  for Wait Time in the After Survey  25

Figure 3-14.  Riders’ Satisfaction with Bus Adherence  to Posted Schedules Before Transit Tracker  26

Figure 3-15.  Respondents’ Perceptions of Safety During the Day. 27

Figure 3-16.  Respondents’ Perceptions of Safety at Night 27

Figure 3-17.  Respondents’ Perceptions of Safety at Night 28

Figure 3-18.  Perceptions of Safety During the Day  at Burnside and 28th Street 28

Figure 3-19.  Frequency With Which the Transit Tracker Sign/Information is Working, Useful, and Accurate  30

Figure 3-20.  Respondents’ Ratings of Transit Tracker Sign/Information. 30

Figure 3-21.  Respondents’ Perceptions of the Transit Tracker System.. 31

Figure 3‑22.  Riders’ Perceptions of Overall Service Quality. 33

Figure 4‑1.  Percent of Boardings at the Transit Tracker Equipped Stops. 36

Figure 5‑1.  Transit Tracker Web-use Trend Data. 38

Figure 5-2.  Age Distribution of Survey Respondents. 39

Figure 5-3.  Frequency with Which Respondents Ride the Bus. 40

Figure 5-4.  How Respondents Access Transit Tracker Online. 41

Figure 5-5.  Reasons Respondents Reported They Have Used Transit Tracker Online  42

Figure 5-6.  Decisions Respondents Reported Making  After Consulting Transit Tracker Online  43

Figure 5-7.  Respondents’ Perceptions of Three Aspects of Transit Tracker Online. 45

Figure 5-8.  Reported Frequency of Transit Tracker Usefulness and Accuracy. 46

Figure 5‑9.  Respondents’ Level of Satisfaction With Online Transit Tracker. 48

Figure 5‑10.  Transit Tracker Online Increases My Satisfaction With Bus Services. 49



ABBREVIATIONS

AVL                        Automatic Vehicle Location

COATS                 Rural California/Oregon Advanced Transportation System

C-TRAN                Clark County Transit Provider

C-VAN                   Clark County’s Curb-to-Curb Paratransit Service

GPS                      Global Positioning System

ITS                         Intelligent Transportation Systems

MAX                       Portland Light-Rail System

MOEs                    Measures of Effectiveness

ODT                      Oregon Department of Transportation

RTC                      Regional Transportation Council

SAIC                      Science Applications International Corporation

TriMet                    Tri-County Metropolitan Transportation District

USDOT                 United States Department of Transportation

VMT                       Vehicle Miles Traveled

 


Executive summary

The Portland metropolitan region has a long history of investing in multi-modal transportation solutions to enhance mobility and maintain the region’s livability standards and reputation. Since the early 1990s, the Portland region has been actively involved in planning and deploying Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) as a complementary means to enhance travel efficiency and safety. Portland’s commitment to feasible ITS solutions for transportation problems is evidenced by TransPort 2000, a regional ITS plan consisting of 16 integrated and interoperable projects.[1] Transport 2000 includes significant bi-state, urban-rural, and multi-modal components. This project plan represents the joint planning efforts of a regional committee consistent with statewide and regional planning processes in Oregon and Washington. The Transport 2000 projects build on the region’s significant existing ITS investment and fills current gaps in planning, emergency management, traveler information, and parking subsystems.

Under the direction and funding of the United States Department of Transportation (USDOT), national ITS evaluations are conducted to accelerate the integration and interoperability of ITS in metropolitan and rural areas. As part of an ongoing process to investigate the success of ITS across the country and provide insights into the potential strengths and weaknesses of the overall national integration program, the Oregon Regional ITS Integration Program was selected for independent national evaluation. Specifically, four projects were selected for evaluation:

·         Regional Intermodal Transit Traveler Information and Security System – Transit Tracker Information Displays.

·         I-5/Barbur Boulevard Parallel Corridor Traffic Management Demonstration Project.

·         Rural California/Oregon Advanced Transportation System (COATS), a bi-state rural integration project.

·         Transit Buses as Traffic Probes project.

Science Applications International Corporation was selected by USDOT as the Independent Evaluator for these projects. This document presents the evaluation strategies and objectives, the data collection methodologies, and the results of the evaluation of the Transit Tracker information displays.  This is the first of four Phase III documents that will be delivered as part of this evaluation.

The Transit Tracker Evaluation

Transit Tracker uses global positioning system (GPS) technology to track how far a bus is along its scheduled route.  Every TriMet bus is equipped with a transmitter that allows continuous satellite tracking with an accuracy of approximately 30 feet. This real-time location information is used to calculate real-time bus and train arrival information. The information is then routed to electronic displays in the frequently used bus shelters and to the Transit Tracker Online Website in the form of arrival countdowns.

The Transit Tracker evaluation was structured to collect and analyze data reflecting changes in bus riders’ behaviors, perceptions, and satisfaction as a result of the Transit Tracker information displays and Transit Tracker Online. The evaluation was designed to meet the following five objectives:

·         Assess bus riders’ use of trip planning information.

·         Assess bus riders’ perceptions of transit system efficiency.

·         Assess bus riders’ perceptions of personal security.

·         Assess bus riders’ perceptions of Transit Tracker service.

·         Assess bus riders’ overall satisfaction with the system.

The approach to the Transit Tracker evaluation was three-fold and involved the following elements:

·         Administration of a before-and-after intercept survey of bus riders at bus stops.

·         Analysis of ridership data at the bus stops surveyed.

·         Administration of an Online survey of Transit Tracker Online users.

In all, surveyors obtained 240 complete “Before” intercept surveys (administered at four bus stops in late January 2002) and 278 complete “After” intercept surveys (administered at four bus stops in early February 2003).  During a three-week period in the spring of 2003, 358 Transit Tracker Online users completed the Online survey.  The survey and ridership results are summarized below according to each of the evaluation objectives.

Assess Bus Riders’ Use of Trip Planning Information

The first objective of the evaluation was to assess bus riders’ use of trip planning information. The hypothesis associated with this objective was:

Transit Tracker will provide bus riders with accurate and useful information with which they can make informed decisions about their trips in real-time.

A comparison of the use of several types of fixed-schedule information (e.g., paper timetables, schedules posted at stops, 238-RIDE information line, online schedules) showed no differences in reported use of the information before and after Transit Tracker.  Interestingly, in the After survey, many more respondents reported using the Transit Tracker information display than the fixed-schedule information. Only about 35 percent of respondents before and after implementing Transit Tracker reported that they frequently or almost always used the schedule guides posted at the stops (the most frequently used source of fixed-schedule information in both the Before and After survey). In contrast, 78 percent of the respondents reported that they frequently or almost always used the Transit Tracker information display.

On the Online survey, respondents were asked to indicate for what reasons they accessed the Transit Tracker Online information.  Ninety percent of the respondents reported that they had used Transit Tracker Online when they did not want to wait too long at the bus stop.  Half of the respondents reported that they had used Transit Tracker Online when they were not sure of the scheduled arrival time of the bus and wanted the real-time arrival information instead and/or when they wanted to know if they had already missed their bus.  The most common single response (given by 34 percent of respondents) was the combination of the three response choices.

The majority of riders on the After-intercept survey and the Online survey reported that they used the Transit Tracker information to make one or more decisions about their trip (e.g., take and alternate bus route, wait for the bus in a more sheltered location).  The most common decision made by riders surveyed at the bus stops was leave the stop and return when the bus is due.  The most common decision made by riders surveyed online was wait longer before leaving home/work for the bus stop.  Thirty-eight percent of riders surveyed at the bus stops reported making multiple decisions based on the information received from the Transit Tracker display, while 77 percent of riders surveyed online reported making multiple decisions based on the information received from Transit Tracker Online.

Regarding decisions made after consulting Transit Tracker, a comparison was made between the response distributions at three stops that had recently been implemented with a Transit Tracker display to the stop at Salmon and 5th, where the display had been in place for 18 months prior to the survey. A visual examination of the response distributions suggests that more riders at the bus stop at Salmon and 5th used the information to make decisions about their trips, and more riders made multiple trip decisions based on the information. This could indicate that users at this stop learned, over the 18-month time period, how to use the information for their benefit. A follow-up survey at the other three stops would show whether this is the case or not. 

Assess Bus Riders’ Perceptions of Transit System Efficiency

The second objective of the evaluation was to assess bus riders’ perceptions of transit system efficiency. The hypothesis associated with this objective was:

Transit Tracker will increase bus riders’ perceptions of bus system efficiency, even if there is no change in the actual system performance.

Riders’ perceptions of on-time performance before and after Transit Tracker differed very little overall.  Statistical comparisons of the response distributions at each of the stops showed no significant differences at two of the three stops surveyed both before and after Transit Tracker; however a significant difference was found at the bus stop at Burnside and 28th Street.  From the distributions, there appears to have been a shift from don’t know [if the bus is usually on time] responses in the Before survey to yes [the bus is usually on time] responses in the After survey at this stop.

In addition to asking riders up front if their bus was usually on-time, riders’ perceived wait times were used as a surrogate for perceived efficiency.  Statistical comparisons of wait times (those reported as integer values only) showed that no change in mean perceived wait time after the installation of Transit Tracker.  In addition, there was no decrease in the variability of reported wait times after the installation of Transit Tracker.

On the Before survey, riders were asked how satisfied they were with the bus’ adherence to the posted schedules. The overwhelming majority of riders, 91 percent, reported that they were either satisfied or extremely satisfied.  These results show that riders were already very satisfied with bus efficiency before the installation of Transit Tracker, which might explain why there were not more significant differences found between the before and after results.

Assess Bus Riders’ Perceptions of Personal Security

The third objective of the Transit Tracker evaluation was to assess bus riders’ perceptions of personal security. The hypothesis associated with this objective was:

Transit Tracker will increase bus riders’ perceptions of personal security, even if there are no other measures taken to increase security.

An overwhelming majority (97 and 98 percent in the Before and After survey, respectively) reported that they agreed or completely agreed that they felt safe waiting for the bus at the stops during the day. Somewhat fewer respondents (63 and 79 percent in the Before and After survey, respectively) reported that they agreed or completely agreed that they felt safe waiting for the bus at the stops at night.

A statistical comparison of riders’ perceptions of personal security before and after Transit Tracker showed no significant difference between the perceptions of security at two of the three stop during the day or at night. The results did show a significant difference in response distribution between the Before and After surveys at Burnside and 28th Street during the day and at night.  From the response distributions, it appears that the significant difference lies in a shift in respondents from agreement with the statements about feeling safe in the Before survey to complete agreement with the statements in the After survey.

On the Online survey, the majority of respondents agreed or completely agreed that Transit Tracker Online made them feel safer knowing they would not have to wait a long time at the bus stop. In addition, one comment at the end of the survey was specifically related to safety: “It [Transit Tracker Online] allows me to be safer, [which is] important to me as I am a woman usually traveling alone.”

A look at nighttime ridership at the stops showed no changes in ridership after the installation of Transit Tracker. In the adjacent stop analysis, only the stop at Burnside and 28th showed a considerable shift of riders to the Transit Tracker equipped location.  Before Transit Tracker was implemented, 78 percent of the riders in the vicinity of Burnside and 28th boarded at Burnside and 28th.  After Transit Tracker was installed, 86 percent of the riders in the vicinity of Burnside and 28th actually boarded at that stop.

Assess Bus Riders’ Perceptions of Transit Tracker Service

The fourth objective of the Transit Tracker evaluation was to assess bus riders’ perceptions of the Transit Tracker service. The hypothesis associated with this objective was:

Transit Tracker will provide bus riders with accurate and useful information that will be understandable and easy to use.

The majority of riders surveyed at the bus stops reported that the Transit Tracker sign/information at the stops was almost always working (84 percent), useful (73 percent), and accurate (56 percent).  Very few riders (less than 5 percent) reported that the Transit Tracker sign/information was rarely or almost never working, useful, or accurate.  Likewise, the majority of riders rated the visibility of the sign (62 percent) and the understandability of the information (72 percent) as very good.  Forty-four percent of riders rated the information accuracy as very good. Very few riders rated the Transit Tracker sign/information as poor or very poor (less than 5 percent). 

Many of the riders’ felt that the Transit Tracker information at bus stops helped them in a number of ways. Sixty percent reported that the information reduced their anxiety at the bus stop, 55 percent reported that the information increased their sense of security at the bus stop, 43 percent reported that the information gave them more control over their travel, and 7 percent reported that the information saved them time at the bus stop.  In fact, 17 percent of respondents reported that the information did all of the above.

On the Online survey, 96 percent of respondents agreed or completely agreed that Transit Tracker Online was easy for them to use (only four respondents disagreed with the statement), and 95 percent of respondents agreed or completely agreed that Transit Tracker Online saved them time.  Regarding its accuracy and usefulness, 86 percent of respondents reported that Transit Tracker Online was frequently or almost always accurate, and 85 percent of respondents reported that Transit Tracker Online information is frequently or almost always useful for making decisions about their trips.

Overall, 61 percent of riders surveyed at bus stops rated the Transit Tracker as very good, and 31 percent rated it as good.  The ratings of the Online Transit Tracker were comparable; 51 percent of online users reported that they were completely satisfied with Transit Tracker Online, and 42 percent of users reported that they were satisfied with the service.

Assess Bus Riders’ Overall Satisfaction With the System

The final objective of the Transit Tracker evaluation was to assess bus riders’ overall perceptions of the bus service. The hypothesis associated with this objective was:

Transit Tracker will increase bus riders’ overall satisfaction with bus service.

An overwhelming 91 percent of respondents in both the Before and After surveys indicated that they were either satisfied or extremely satisfied with the bus service at the stops.  About 5 percent reported being dissatisfied or extremely dissatisfied before Transit Tracker, and a mere 1 percent reported being dissatisfied or extremely dissatisfied after Transit Tracker. A statistical comparison of riders’ satisfaction with bus service before and after Transit Tracker at the stops showed no significant difference between the satisfaction ratings. This could be attributed to the fact that riders were very satisfied before Transit Tracker was deployed.

Eighty-nine percent of riders surveyed online agreed or completely agreed that Transit Tracker Online increased their satisfaction with bus services. Only 9 and 2 percent were neutral or disagreed, respectively.

 

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the evaluation results, the following conclusions are made:

·         Bus riders surveyed at the stops like the Transit Tracker information displays; the large majority of riders surveyed feel that the information provided is understandable, useful, and accurate.  Riders’ feel that the information helps them by reducing their anxiety, increasing their sense of security, giving them more control over their travel, and saving them time.

·         Riders at stops use the real-time Transit Tracker information more frequently than all other available sources of fixed-schedule information. The flexibility that Transit Tracker’s real-time information provides to riders appears to be a significant improvement over that provided by fixed-schedule information.

·         There is evidence to suggest that riders learn over time how to use the real-time information for their benefit. Many riders surveyed at the bus stops and online reported making multiple decisions about their trips (e.g., taking a different bus route) with the Transit Tracker information at hand. It appears that riders use the real-time bus arrival information provided by Transit Tracker to more effectively and creatively plan and execute their trips.

·         An overwhelming majority of riders were satisfied or extremely satisfied with bus adherence to the posted schedules before Transit Tracker; therefore, there was little “room for improvement” in perceptions of on-time performance after Transit Tracker. (There was no significant difference in mean reported wait times before and after Transit Tracker, and there were no significant differences in reported on-time performance before and after Transit Tracker at two of the three stops.)

·         There is evidence to suggest, at least at one bus stop, that the presence of the Transit Tracker information has a positive influence on riders’ perceptions of on-time performance, while, at the same time, helps riders to have a better idea of whether the bus is running on-time.

·         The large majority of riders reported feeling safe at the stops during the day and at night both before and after Transit Tracker, and there was no significant difference in the before and after ratings; however, there is evidence to suggest, at least at one bus stop, that Transit Tracker has a positive impact on riders’ perceptions of personal security during the day and at night.

·         At this point, there are no changes in nighttime ridership at the bus stops as a result of Transit Tracker; however, at one of the stops, a considerable increase in “vicinity” boardings at the Transit Tracker equipped location since the installation suggests that riders have shifted from adjacent stops to the Transit Tracker equipped location to have access to the information. 

·         The overwhelming majority of riders surveyed at the bus stops are satisfied with the bus service at the stop; however, because riders were already very satisfied with bus service prior to the installation of Transit Tracker, there was not a significant improvement in customer satisfaction.

·         Transit Tracker Online users like the system; the overwhelming majority of users feel that the system is easy to use, that the information provided is useful and accurate, and that it saves them time during the day.

·         The majority of Transit Tracker Online users access the information for multiple reasons.  They maximize their time at home, work, or school before leaving for the bus stop. When running late, users check Transit Tracker Online to see if they have already missed their bus and, at the same time, can check the predicted arrival time for the next bus.

·         The majority of Transit Tracker Online users feel safer knowing they do not have to wait a long time at the bus stop as a result of the information.

·         Overall, users are satisfied with Transit Tracker Online and agree that the service increases their satisfaction with bus service as a whole.

Based on the results of this evaluation and the conclusions drawn, the hypotheses stated up front have either been supported by the results of the evaluation or have not been supported by the results of the evaluation:

·         Hypothesis:  Transit Tracker will provide bus riders with accurate and useful information with which they can make informed decisions about their trips in real-timeSupported.

·         Hypothesis:  Transit Tracker will increase bus riders’ perceptions of bus system efficiency, even if there is no change in the actual system performance—Supported at Burnside & 28th; Not supported at other locations.

·         Hypothesis:  Transit Tracker will increase bus riders’ perceptions of personal security, even if there are no other measures taken to increase security—Supported at Burnside & 28th and by Transit Tracker Online users; Not supported at other locations.

·         Hypothesis:  Transit Tracker will provide bus riders with accurate and useful information that will be understandable and easy to useSupported.

·         Hypothesis:  Transit Tracker will increase bus riders’ overall satisfaction with bus service—Supported, at least by Transit Tracker Online users.

 


1.         Introduction

The Portland, Oregon metropolitan region has a long history of investing in multi-modal transportation solutions to enhance mobility and maintain the region’s livability standards and reputation.[2]  Since the early 1990s, the Portland region has been actively involved in the planning and deployment of ITS infrastructure. Considering a projected regional population increase of nearly 500,000 residents by the year 2040, and a related increase of 55 percent in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) on regional transportation facilities in the next 20 years, integrated ITS deployment is considered critical in meeting future transportation demands.[3]

Under the direction and partial funding of the United States Department of Transportation (USDOT), independent national evaluations are being conducted to accelerate the integration and interoperability of ITS in metropolitan and rural areas, to investigate the success of ITS across the country, and to provide insights into the potential strengths and weaknesses of the overall national integration program. In fiscal year 2000, the Oregon Regional ITS Integration Program was selected for national evaluation. Specifically, four projects were selected for evaluation:

·         Regional Intermodal Transit Traveler Information and Security System –Transit Tracker.

·         I-5/Barbur Boulevard Parallel Corridor Traffic Management Demonstration Project.

·         Rural California/Oregon Advanced Transportation System (COATS), a bi-state rural integration project.

·         Transit Buses as Traffic Probes project.

This document outlines the evaluation strategies, data collection approach, and a comparison of baseline and post-deployment results for “Transit Tracker,” a real-time transit arrival information system in Portland.  This is the first of four Phase III documents that will be delivered as part of this evaluation.

Science Applications International Corporation was selected as the Independent Evaluator for this project. This Phase III Report is structured in the following format:

·         Section 1 – Introduction.  Provides information on the Oregon Regional ITS Integration Program projects that are being evaluated nationally.

·         Section 2 – Background.  Provides background information on ITS in Oregon and a description of the Transit Tracker system, including project goals. This section also summarizes the evaluation approach, hypotheses and measures of effectiveness developed previously and detailed in the Evaluation Plan.

·         Section 3 – Before and After Intercept Interviews. Details the data collection plan and process, and provides a comparison of the baseline and post-deployment results from the Transit Tracker intercept surveys.

·         Section 4 – Ridership Data Analysis. Details an analysis of ridership data, specifically nighttime boardings and adjacent stop boardings before and after implementation of Transit Tracker.

·         Section 5 – Transit Tracker Online Survey.  Details the data collection plan and process, and presents the results from the Transit Tracker Online survey.

·         Section 6 – Summary and Conclusions.  Summarizes the major findings of the evaluation, states the major conclusions drawn from the results, and lists recommendations to FHWA for next steps.

 


2.         Background

Portland’s commitment to ITS as a solution to transportation problems is evidenced by TransPort 2000, a regional ITS plan consisting of 16 integrated and interoperable projects.[4] Transport 2000 includes significant bi-state, urban-rural, and multi-modal components. This project plan represents the joint planning efforts of a regional committee consistent with statewide and regional planning processes in Oregon and Washington. The TransPort 2000 projects build on the region’s significant existing ITS infrastructure investment and fills current gaps in planning, emergency management, traveler information, and parking subsystems. When deployed, the projects will complete the region’s core ITS infrastructure, consistent with the USDOT’s national ITS goals for safety, efficiency, productivity, mobility, and environmental improvements.[5]

The TransPort 2000 project partners have been working to continue progress on the incremental conceptualization, planning, design, and deployment of operational ITS. The project partners include the following agencies:

·         Washington and Oregon Departments of Transportation (WSDOT and ODOT).

·         City of Portland Department of Transportation.

·         Metro—The directly-elected regional government.

·         Southwest Washington Regional Transportation Council (RTC)—The metropolitan planning organization for Southwest Washington.

·         The Port of Portland.

·         Tri-County Metropolitan Transportation District of Oregon (TriMET)—The public transit provider for the Portland metropolitan area.

·         C-TRAN—Clark County's public transit provider.

·         Academic and private partners. 

The remainder of this section is organized as follows:

·         2.1  Transit Tracker System Description

·         2.2  Participants and Stakeholders

·         2.3  Evaluation Objectives

·         2.4  Hypotheses and Measures of Effectiveness

·         2.5  General Evaluation Approach

2.1             transit tracker system description

Transit Tracker uses global positioning system (GPS) technology to track how far a bus is along its scheduled route.  Every TriMet bus is equipped with a transmitter that allows continuous satellite tracking with an accuracy of approximately 30 feet. This real-time location information is used to calculate real-time bus and train arrival information. The information is then routed to electronic displays in the frequently used bus shelters and to the Transit Tracker Online Website in the form of arrival countdowns (Figure 2‑1 and Figure 2-2, respectively).

 

Figure 2. Transit Tracker Display (Bus Shelter)

Figure 21.  Transit Tracker Display (Bus Shelter)

Arrival countdowns are estimates of when the bus will arrive (number of minutes) based on the location of the bus (the distance from the stop) and the scheduled speed along its route. If the system cannot make an accurate prediction (e.g., the vehicle is too far away or the transmitter on the vehicle is not working), the scheduled arrival time is displayed instead. In the event of an emergency, Transit Tracker information displays at bus stops can also provide important information and instructions to riders.[6]

Figure 2-2. Transit Tracker Online Display

Figure 2-2.  Transit Tracker Online Display

 

2.2             transit tracker system deployment

The first two Transit Tracker information displays were installed in January 2001 at SE 17th Street and Center and at NE Martin Luther King, Jr. Boulevard and Killingsworth. As of July 31, 2003, there were 18 Transit Tracker information displays at bus stops and 33 Transit Tracker information displays at light rail stops (however, the rail installations currently display only scheduled arrival times rather than real time updates). By January 1, 2004, TriMet plans to have Transit Tracker information displays installed at 33 to 38 bus stops, with an additional 25 installations per year through 2006. TriMet expects to have the Transit Tracker displays at the light rail stops showing real time arrival information by January 1, 2004. Transit Tracker Online, available on TriMet’s Website, displays real-time arrival information for every bus stop in Portland. Transit Tracker Online became fully operational in September 2002.

2.3             evaluation objectives

The evaluation of Transit Tracker was based on standard evaluation practices developed by USDOT. For each evaluation objective, hypotheses were formulated to identify anticipated impacts of the project. One or more measures of effectiveness (MOEs) were then associated with each hypothesis to assess the accuracy of the hypothesis. This section presents a discussion of the evaluation objectives and lists the hypothesis and MOEs associated with each objective.

The Transit Tracker evaluation was structured to collect and analyze data reflecting changes in bus riders’ behaviors, perceptions, and satisfaction as a result of the Transit Tracker information displays and Transit Tracker Online. The evaluation was designed to meet the following five objectives as more fully described in Sections 2.3.1 through 2.3.5:

·         Assess bus riders’ use of trip planning information.

·         Assess bus riders’ perceptions of transit system efficiency.

·         Assess bus riders’ perceptions of personal security.

·         Assess bus riders’ perceptions of Transit Tracker service.

·         Assess bus riders’ overall satisfaction with the system.

2.3.1        Use of Trip Planning Information

One of the objectives of the Transit Tracker evaluation was to assess riders’ use of trip planning information. The hypothesis stated that Transit Tracker would provide riders with accurate and useful information with which they could make informed decisions about their trips in real-time. Before Transit Tracker, riders could access only fixed-schedule information (e.g., paper brochures, schedules posted at bus stops, on-line schedules). Although frequent users may have memorized many of their schedules and routes, newer or less frequent riders may not be aware of when or how often the buses operate. Transit Tracker information displays allow riders to see the number of minutes until the next two buses arrive. With this type of information, transit riders may have more opportunities to make alternative route or travel decisions.  This information may also afford riders the opportunities to make better use of their time by, for example, running an errand while waiting, instead of waiting at the stop longer than necessary. This information could also be especially useful during inclement weather conditions (which are common in Portland) when riders may not want to wait outside too long for the bus to arrive.

2.3.2        Perceptions of System Efficiency

Another objective of the Transit Tracker evaluation was to assess riders’ perceptions of system efficiency. It was hypothesized that riders would perceive an increase in bus system efficiency in terms of on-time performance, even if there were no change in the actual system performance. This premise of this hypothesis is that Transit Tracker provides riders with real-time bus arrival information.  Even though the bus may be operating behind schedule, the Transit Tracker displays show the actual (versus scheduled) time of arrival. If the system is accurate, the bus arrives when the counter on the display nears zero and the sign displays the word “Due.”  In the minds of riders, a bus arriving when the display says it will arrive (whether or not it is at the scheduled arrival time) may constitute and be perceived as an improvement in system efficiency.

2.3.3        Perceptions of Personal Security

Another objective of the Transit Tracker evaluation was to assess transit riders’ perceptions of personal security. The hypothesis stated that riders would perceive an increase in personal security, even if there were no other measures taken to increase security (e.g., increased police presence). While the Transit Tracker information, per se, has no impact on the actual security of transit riders, having access to more accurate arrival time information may afford travelers the opportunity to wait elsewhere for the bus (e.g., a coffee shop) if they have a long wait, if it is after dark, or if they are not familiar or comfortable with the area. In addition, the online information can enable riders to leave home/work later for the bus stop, thereby shortening their wait time at the stop, and therefore, their exposure to potential harm. Having information available to make these types of decisions could impact users’ perception of personal security.

2.3.4        Perceptions of Transit Tracker Service

If Transit Tracker is to be successful, the system must be easy for riders to use and understand. The hypothesis stated that Transit Tracker would provide bus riders with accurate and useful information that would be understandable and easy to use This information could allow people to stay at home/work longer before leaving for the bus stop and could allow opportunities to do other things while they wait for their bus (e.g., running an errand), while remaining confident about the bus’ arrival time.

2.3.5        Overall Satisfaction with Bus Service

There are many aspects of transit service that may contribute to riders’ perceptions of service quality (frequency of buses, on-time arrivals, cleanliness of bus, friendliness of driver, etc.). The hypothesis stated that Transit Tracker, in and of itself, has the potential to increase riders’ satisfaction with bus services. Assuming all other things remain constant, an increase in overall customer satisfaction could be attributed to the deployment of Transit Tracker.

2.4             hypotheses and measures of effectiveness

The MOEs associated with each of the hypotheses generated for the Transit Tracker evaluation are identified in Table 2-1.


Table 21.  Hypotheses and Measures of Effectiveness for the Evaluation of Transit Tracker

Hypothesis

Measures of Effectiveness

Transit Tracker will provide bus riders with accurate and useful information with which they can make informed decisions about their trips in real-time.

Riders’ use of pre-trip planning information (e.g., types of information used, frequency of use, how information is used) and the impacts of the information use on time savings and perceptions of personal security.

Transit Tracker will increase bus riders’ perceptions of bus system efficiency, even if there is no change in the actual system performance.

Riders’ perceptions of system efficiency.

Transit Tracker will increase bus riders’ perceptions of personal security, even if there are no other measures taken to increase security.

Riders’ perceptions of personal security.

Transit Tracker will provide bus riders with accurate and useful information that will be understandable and easy to use.

Riders’ satisfaction ratings of Transit Tracker (e.g., ease of use, usefulness and accuracy of information).

Transit Tracker will increase bus riders’ overall satisfaction with bus service.

Riders’ overall satisfaction ratings of bus services.

 

2.5             General Evaluation Approach

The approach to the Transit Tracker evaluation was three-fold and involved the following elements:

·         Administration of a before-and-after intercept survey of bus riders at bus stops.

·         Analysis of ridership data at the bus stops surveyed.

·         Administration of an Online survey of Transit Tracker Online users.

 

 


3.         before and after intercept interviews

The first step in the Transit Tracker evaluation was to administer “Before” and “After” intercept surveys to bus riders. The goal was to use one survey instrument to obtain information for each of the five objectives of the Transit Tracker evaluation:

·         Assess riders’ use of trip planning information.

·         Assess riders’ perceptions of transit system efficiency.

·          Assess riders’ perceptions of personal security.

·         Assess riders’ perceptions of Transit Tracker service (After survey and Online survey only).

·         Assess riders’ overall satisfaction with bus service.

This section describes the survey approach, respondent characteristics, and the findings from the Before and After Transit Tracker intercept surveys, and is organized as follows:

·         3.1  Survey Approach

·         3.2  Summary of Respondent Characteristics

·         3.3  Findings

3.1             survey approach and location selection

The Before surveys were administered on Tuesday afternoon, January 22, 2002 through Friday morning, January 25, 2002. The After surveys were administered on Tuesday morning, February 4, 2003 through Thursday afternoon, February 6, 2003. The Before surveys were conducted at four stops located in different areas throughout the city of Portland. These locations were chosen based on two criteria:  (1) locations where Transit Tracker information displays had not yet been installed, but where plans existed for near-term installation; and (2) locations where bus ridership was high enough to obtain a reasonable number of completed surveys over a three- to four-day survey period.

Table 31 shows the mean weekday boardings from 2002 and 2003 for the five Transit Tracker locations at which TriMet passengers were interviewed and the variation in ridership between location and between time periods. Surveys were administered during the time periods when ridership was the highest at each of the locations (e.g., during the morning peak at Barbur Transit Center).


Table 31.  Ridership Data for Transit Tracker Bus Stops in Portland

 

 

Bus Stop

Mean Weekday Boardings
by Time of Day (Spring)

7 – 9 a.m.

9 a.m. – 4 p.m.

4 – 6 p.m.

2002

2003

2002

2003

2002

2003

Barbur Transit Center

284

292

141

142

55

58

Weidler at Lloyd Center

12

11

146

139

68

68

Burnside and 28th

67

62

172

157

42

38

Burnside & Grand

28

23

94

94

39

40

Salmon and 5th

97

90

607

551

387

336

Barbur Transit Center is located approximately 4 miles south of downtown Portland.  It has an adjacent park-and-ride lot and serves mostly downtown commuters who are inbound in the morning.  This stop is located on a major north-south arterial serving downtown Portland and the southern suburbs.  The land use surrounding this stop is primarily suburban commercial and residential. 

Weidler at Lloyd Center is located less than 1 mile northeast of downtown Portland.  It is adjacent to a shopping mall and serves mostly non-commuters in the midday.  The land use surrounding this stop is primarily commercial/shopping.

Burnside and Grand and Burnside and 28th are located between ½ mile and 1 mile east of downtown Portland.  They serve some inbound morning commuters as well as non-commuters in the midday.  Burnside and 28th is more residential, while Burnside and Grand, located closer to the river and railroad tracks, is more industrial. 

Salmon and 5th is located in downtown Portland.  It serves outbound commuters in the evening, as well as non-commuters and tourists throughout the day.  This stop is located in a high-density employment and shopping district.  It is well-served by transit and has a lot of pedestrian activity.

After surveys were conducted at three of the four locations shown in Table 31.  After surveys were not administered at Burnside and Grand, as the Transit Tracker information display was not installed at that location at the time of After-survey administration. Instead, After surveys were conducted at Salmon and 5th Street because the Transit Tracker information display had been in place at that location since June 2001, about a year longer than at the other locations. This site was chosen as the Evaluation Team believed that responses at the Salmon and 5th Street location might differ from those at the other locations, as riders had more time to use the information and form opinions about its accuracy and usefulness.

Surveys were administered by a team of two at each stop during the morning peak (7  9 a.m.), midday (11:30 a.m. – 1:00 p.m.), and/or during the evening peak (4 – 6 p.m.). Riders were approached and informed that surveyors were asking a few questions related to customer satisfaction with the TriMet service. They were asked if they would be willing to answer the questions while they waited for their bus to arrive. Riders who agreed to participate were given a copy of the survey to follow along visually as the surveyor read each question aloud. Surveyors recorded each rider’s responses on a separate survey form.

Overall, bus riders were extremely receptive and cooperative. In fact, about 9 out of 10 people agreed to participate in the survey. The only difficulty experienced in survey administration was the ability to complete the survey before the bus arrived. Between 10 and 20 percent of the time, surveys were not able to be completed before the bus arrived, and therefore, could not be used in the analyses. This was particularly problematic on cool, rainy days at small shelters, as many riders arrived at the stops just before the bus arrived.

Table 32 shows the number of completed surveys obtained at each bus stop. In all, surveyors were able to obtain 240 complete Before surveys and 278 complete After surveys.
Table 33
shows the percentage of total daytime riders (7 a.m. to 6 p.m.) surveyed at each stop. For most of the study sites, the number of riders interviewed totaled approximately 20 percent of the number of average daily boardings. The exceptions were the stops at Burnside and Grand and at Salmon and 5th where the percentage was about 10%.

 

Table 32.  Number of Completed Transit Tracker Surveys

Bus Stop

Number of Completed Surveys

Before

After

Barbur Transit Center

109

83

Weidler at Lloyd Center

53

48

Burnside and 28th

62

61

Burnside and Grand

16

Not Surveyed

Salmon and 5th

Not Surveyed

86

Total

240

278

 


Table 33.  Percent of Riders Surveyed at Each Bus Stop

Bus Stop

2002 (Before)

2003 (After)

Average Daily Boardings (7am – 6pm)

# Surveys  (7am – 6pm)

# Surveys /Average Daily Boardings

Average Daily Boardings (7am – 6pm)

Completed Surveys  (7am – 6pm)

# Surveys /Average Daily Boardings

Barbur Transit Center

480

109